9/05/2009

In Defense Of Casey Blake

The various pundits, kensai and me included, do a fair bit of railing against the moves made by the Dodgers. Hell, that is part of point of this site and its progenitor. That said, I was watching the FSN show "In My Own Words" on Casey Blake, and I found his story interesting. I decided to look deeper at his career, adding to what I already knew, and figured out that just about everyone has given him a raw deal.

Coming Up

For those that don't know, Blake was a huge fish in a small pond in Iowa, where he was rated one of the ten best athletes in Iowa history. He then went to Wichita State and was a huge star. Despite this, he was twice drafted in the late rounds, out of high school and in his junior season of college, and the most money he was offered was $30,000. So he returned back to college for his senior year, finished up with a monster year, and was drafted in the 7th round by the Blue Jays. All Blake did during his time in the minors was kill baseballs.

Instead of bringing up a guy who could hit for power, get on base, and play all four corners, Blake didn't get to play full time in the majors until 2003, when he was 29 years old. This wasn't through any fault of his own, it just seems like no one saw him as the solution to anything. On the FSN show, Steve Lyons even mentioned that Mark Shapiro said from the very beginning of Blake's time in Cleveland that Blake wasn't the solution to anything. Yet all he did was play where his manager wanted him and produce an OPS somewhere around .800 or better.

Of Course The Trade Was Stupid

Yes, trading Carlos Santana was stupid. Even if Santana is a shitty defensive catcher, he had tons of value as a trade chip, and could have eventually replaced Manny in the outfield or even played some first. Jon Meloan has turned out to be a bust, so he was fine fodder for such a trade. That the Dodgers were so cheap as to trade a huge prospect like Santana just to get Blake's relatively paltry salary paid was incredibly stupid.

Again though, just like all the time he lost in the minors, this wasn't Blake's fault.

Was The Contract So Bad?

The big question with Blake in the off-season was whether he would sign with the Twins or re-up with the Dodgers. It apparently all came down to years, with the Dodgers breaking from tradition by offering an extra year with a lower average annual value, while the Twinkies were offering more annual cash but fewer years and thus less total money. Blake re-signed with the Dodgers in a move that was treated with mixed emotion. The money was fine, but the years was what most people thought were excessive, especially with Blake DeWitt's semi-breakout rookie season, and the fact that the final year of the contract will be Blake's age 37 season.

Well, all Blake has done is earn almost the whole contract this year. Even if Blake was cut from the team today, never to return, the Dodgers would have received nearly $15 million in value from him. Basically, the Dodgers will be playing on house money with this guy.

He Could Actually Be Getting Better

What you say? A now 36-year-old hitter with a power game is getting better? Well, if you look at his defense and his speed, he is. If you peek back at his Fan Graphs page, you will see that his speed score is the best of his career, fueled by three triples. On top of that, his UZR has been nothing short of excellent. Now, I am a frequent critic of the limitations of UZR, but Blake has passed the eye test this year, and has really cut down on the errors, having made only 9 miscues all year to this point. He isn't DeWitt down there, but he has gobbled up tons of potential doubles hit down the line, and his arm is really good.

He's Matt Kemp's Buddy

This alone could justify Blake's place on the team. Blake and Kemp have apparently forged a solid friendship that has really been a huge positive influence on The Bison. While the clubhouse chemistry thing is usually overrated (unless we're talking about a true piece of shit like Jeff Kent), I am all for having a guy like Blake take the team's best player (yes, better than Manny) under his wing.

This can be nothing but a good thing. Hell, just compare the difference in value to the team when Jeff Kent was the "veteran presence" in the dugout, calling out the "kids" in what were thinly veiled digs at Kemp. For all we know, Kemp probably said "hey, aren't you the guy who broke his wrist popping wheelies?" and Kent responded "I was washing my truck you ungrateful kid. You need to learn to be gritty."

Casey Blake Has Finally Found a Home

Despite doing everything he has been asked, Blake has never really been wanted at anywhere he's played. Well, that has changed here in Los Angeles, as he is an important cog in a team with a real chance at winning it all. He could fill the role of guys like Tim Wallach, Kent Hrbek and Tino Martinez.

30 Comments:

Cabell said...

Casey Blake has been an important part of the team this year. Signing him was unnecessary though. Blake DeWitt would have been fine down at 3B this year, but now he's being blocked for two more seasons. Maybe Casey Blake makes a move to 1B and DeWitt gets 3B next season.

kensai said...

He's probably been a lot better than DeWitt would have been. For now, at least.

It's is September, after all.

kensai said...

My only problem is that it's hard to pick and choose which UZR numbers you want to use.

Either you believe in the defensive metrics or you don't. Picking and choosing leaves things open to personal preferences.

Highly doubt that Blake is any better or worse, but the average talent at third may have shifted negatively.

Cabell said...

DeWitt was impressive last season. I think he will improve if he's playing at the major league level on a daily basis.

Cabell said...

Plus a three year deal is crazy. Between Blake and Furcal Ned made some bad decisions last offseason. Come 2011, I think many of us are gonna be complaining about the left side of the infield.

telciram said...

He's more valuable than Todd Helton.

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=nl&qual=y&type=6&season=2009&month=0

The Stig said...

I like Blake because he is a good guy and because he has helped this team to win. The impact that he has had on Matt Kemp can not be undervalued. If by the 3rd year of this deal he is a bench guy, I am not sure that he will complain because he has never complained before. He is a solid stand-up guy and I don't see how that can hurt.

Furcal is a different story. White Elephant, Albatross, POS... take your pick.

mpearse89 said...

^Yeah I agree. Blake has done what's expected of him while Furcal has been miserable in every sense.

lakersdodgersyankees4life said...

im curious... could the dodgers consider putting him at 1b and trading Loney after the yr? you could have DeJesus at 2n(when he is ready)and DeWitt at 3rd. When Casey's contract is up, either sign a guy to a one yr deal to play first and go after a guy like Pujols(basically a run producer with power) or give the job to a kid(Russell, Lambo, etc)...

DieAllRight! (Formerly Rob) said...

Solid work Alivandi.

KempKershaw said...

LDY4L- Pujols is everything, most importantly he gets on base a ridiculous amount of the time.

bluetrain said...

i love Blake's baseball and always have, but this is classic, "While the clubhouse chemistry thing is usually overrated (unless we're talking about a true piece of shit like Jeff Kent)".

Never have I experienced a player of Kent's Skills be such a dork!
train

Cabell said...

LDY4L - That's what I was thinking. I would hate to sell low on Loney, but 1B is definitely where the Dodgers could use an offensive upgrade.

Cabell said...

By the way, Blake is getting the night off. Furcal is leading off again tonight. Manny is sitting too.


Furcal SS
Pierre LF
Ethier RF
Kemp CF
Loney 1B
Belliard 3B
Martin C
Hudson 2B
Wolf P

The Dude Abides said...

Jesus fuck. Does Belliard have compromising pictures of Torre in a threesome with two midgets?

telciram said...

"Also, Casey Blake tweaked his left hamstring during last night's 2-0 loss to the Padres and won't play tonight. He'll be out a couple days, Torre said. Ronnie Belliard will start for the third consecutive game."

This.

The Dude Abides said...

Hmm...ok then...not so bad. Maybe it wasn't a threesome.

Bayareadfan said...

Blake is having a good season. I'd still like him to hit better, especially against shitty lefties like the one we faced last night.

Blake is certainly a huge upgrade over the collection of stiffs we've had at the position during this decade.

Bayareadfan said...

"Instead of bringing up a guy who could hit for power, get on base, and play all four corners, Blake didn't get to play full time in the majors until 2003, when he was 29 years old."

It's things like this that I wouldn't exactly write off AJ Ellis. Sure, he's a bit older than Martin, but so what? Give the kid a shot.

kensai said...

Cabell-He could, but it's hard to say he would be as good as Blake for sure.

Blake can just be a pinch hitter by then is the point. He will have probably earned his contract by then. Unlike...say...Pierre.

telciram-Yes, but I don't use those pure rankings when evaluating players.

LDY4L-Yes, they could consider that. I highly doubt it though.

Bayareadfan-I give up on Ellis because he's really not that great of a hitter.

At his absolute best, he's Martin with shittier defense approaching his years of decline. What would be the point?

I Alivandi said...

At Ellis' absolute best he is Martin in his worst year with shitty, as opposed to elite defense. No shot for him with the Dodgers. Resigning Ausmus to the same deal is a better deal than using Ellis.

Bayareadfan said...

Really? That's one I'd like to see. Ellis would have to be a *really* shitty hitter to be worse than what we have, right?

kensai said...

He's not a shitty hitter, he like a .250-.270 guy with a decent OBP and no power.

The problem is that he might be a .230-.250 guy. We don't know.

There's just no real way he's better than Martin right now. Even Ausmus probably.

Daniel Ha said...

I don't think Ellis would be too bad. I don't know about his defense, but he can probably hit better than Ausmus can. And given that he makes about 1/9 of Ausmus' paycheck, he may even be the better option with all things considered.

On the Abreu front via AZcentral.com, we have some more new developments on why he's not gone yet. It's supposedly nothing to do with waivers, but with some settlement that affects his arbitration eligibility that the D-Backs didn't know about. It doesn't look like it's going to be remedied anytime soon.

http://www.azcentral.com/sports/diamondbacks/articles/2009/09/05/20090905spt-dbacksabreu.html

kensai said...

I thought Ausmus makes a million? He might hit better long-term, but right now? Ausmus is doing better than Ellis would given the same playing time. Hard to complain.

Yeah, I saw that settlement news. I should mention it.

Daniel Ha said...

Yeah, but doesn't Ellis make like $120,000? I may be off on this, though.

I think there's a good change Ellis could bat better than Ausmus right now. He has a decent OBP, and OPSs just above .800. He's really not bad. You could make the argument that Ausmus is better, yes, but given that their MLB role would be tiny to say the least, I wonder if the 800k savings would actually be worth it.

kensai said...

Right, but when he gets called up, he will make the major league minimum, which I believe is around 400k. So 600k in savings for a guy who's a question mark.

Ausmus may not be good, but he's a known entity, and Ellis' upside isn't much better.

Remember, Ellis has a .800 OPS at the minor league version of Coors Field. He's actually having a down year, all things considered.

I give Ellis the same chance of being a useful major league regular as Jesus Castillo of being a long-time major league starter. Not good.

I hope he does well though, maybe he could be a backup.

I Alivandi said...

Bayaredfan - The one we have now still gets on base. And this has been one of his worst professional seasons. Like I said, Ellis at his ceiling is Martin this year, without the Gold Glove defense. Sorry, but I'll take the Canadian.

Daniel - The league minimum is $400,000. That is what Ellis will make. Perhaps even a few hundred grand more. Ausmus costs a million this year and will cost a million till he files retirement papers. Ausmus easily gives $600,000 more in value as a known commodity and as a player/coach type for the pitching staff. He also blocks the plate well and throws decently, if not like a cannon.

Daniel Ha said...

Alivanadi & kensai - Gotcha. Didn't know about the league minimum being that high. Also didn't think about Albuquerque being a crazy hitter's park either. Taking all that into account, I suppose Ausmus is better value, although I still figure if Brad decided to walk Ellis would be an adequate replacement. It's not like having a better backup catcher would convince Torre to rest Martin more anyway.

kensai said...

I think Ellis could be a decent option, and maybe he needs a shot, but I don't think we want to mistake him for a guy like LoDuca in the sense that he'll breakout if he gets a shot as a regular starter.